SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Mainz 05 |
52.08% ( 0.78) | 23.51% ( -0.22) | 24.41% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% ( 0.45) | 44.93% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.72% ( 0.43) | 67.28% ( -0.43) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.74% ( 0.46) | 17.26% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.42% ( 0.8) | 47.57% ( -0.8) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.65% ( -0.23) | 32.34% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.15% ( -0.25) | 68.85% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.85% Total : 52.08% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.55% Total : 24.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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