Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 63.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
