Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
