Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
