SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 69.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 12.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | America Mineiro |
69.15% ( -0.33) | 18.52% ( 0.23) | 12.32% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.98% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.55% ( -0.77) | 42.45% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.14% ( -0.77) | 64.85% ( 0.77) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.83% ( -0.3) | 11.16% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.36% ( -0.66) | 35.64% ( 0.66) |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.14% ( -0.32) | 44.86% ( 0.32) |
