SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Cruzeiro |
64.25% ( 1.38) | 19.44% ( -0.37) | 16.31% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.64% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.24% ( -0.16) | 37.76% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40% ( -0.17) | 60.01% ( 0.17) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.89% ( 0.32) | 11.11% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.48% ( 0.69) | 35.52% ( -0.69) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.72% ( -1.27) | 36.29% ( 1.28) |
