SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Flamengo |
38.09% ( 0.13) | 25.54% ( -0.03) | 36.37% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.82% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.86% ( 0.11) | 48.14% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.7% ( 0.11) | 70.3% ( -0.11) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( 0.12) | 24.81% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.61% ( 0.17) | 59.39% ( -0.18) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( -0.01) | 25.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.3% ( -0.01) | 60.7% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahia | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.09% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Botafogo | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | PalmeirasPalmeiras | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Gremio | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 20 |
| 4 | FlamengoFlamengo | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Atletico Mineiro | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 18 |
| 8 | InternacionalInternacional | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | BragantinoBragantino | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | FortalezaFortaleza | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 11 | Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 | SantosSantos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Bahia | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 12 |
| 17 | GoiasGoias | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | America MineiroAmerica Mineiro | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 8 |
| 19 | Vasco da GamaVasco | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 | Coritiba | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 4 |
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