SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 57.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Coritiba |
57.67% ( -0.24) | 23.3% ( 0.1) | 19.03% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 49.23% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.76% ( -0.2) | 50.24% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.8% ( -0.18) | 72.19% ( 0.18) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.82% ( -0.16) | 17.17% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.57% ( -0.28) | 47.43% ( 0.28) |
| Coritiba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.44% ( 0.04) | 40.56% ( -0.04) |
