SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Sao Paulo |
33.91% ( 0.1) | 27.77% ( 0.01) | 38.32% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.33% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.48% ( -0.04) | 57.52% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.69% ( -0.03) | 78.31% ( 0.03) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% ( 0.05) | 31.85% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.71% ( 0.05) | 68.29% ( -0.05) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -0.08) | 29.09% ( 0.08) |
