Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Sao Paulo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
