MX23RW : Thursday, October 27 19:28:17
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Thursday, October 27
Sep 28, 2022 at 11pm UK at Estádio Couto Pereira
Coritiba
1 - 0
Ceara
Daniel (30')
Daniel (45+1'), Castan (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vinicius (33'), Richardson (62'), Luis (72'), Victor (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Coritiba
Saturday, September 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 0-2 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Coritiba 1-0 Ceara

Both teams are only narrowly above the relegation line, but the margin is much thinner for Guto Ferreira's men, who have been challenging to break down and compact at home, and we expect their desperation will propel them to three points on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 41.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 28.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coritiba in this match.

Result
CoritibaDrawCeara
41.75% (0.10599999999999 0.11) 29.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 28.91% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 42.53% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)63.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)83.17% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (0.057000000000002 0.06)30.29% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.54% (0.069999999999993 0.07)66.46% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)39% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.28% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)75.72% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Coritiba 41.75%
    Ceara 28.91%
    Draw 29.33%
CoritibaDrawCeara
1-0 @ 14.1% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.43% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1% (0.007 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 41.75%
1-1 @ 13.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.33%
0-1 @ 11.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 28.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Coritiba
Saturday, September 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 2-0 Atletico GO
Sunday, September 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-0 Coritiba
Sunday, September 4 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-0 Avai
Saturday, August 27 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 5-2 Coritiba
Saturday, August 20 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, August 14 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 0-2 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 2-1 Santos
Saturday, September 10 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Ceara
Sunday, September 4 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 0-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, August 28 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Ceara
Sunday, August 21 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 0-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, August 14 at 8pm in Brasileiro
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras342111259223774
2InternacionalInternacional341713452302264
3FlamengoFlamengo34187956322461
4Fluminense341771055401558
5Corinthians3316983932757
6Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34149114143-251
7Atletico Mineiro33121293833548
8Botafogo34138133638-247
9Sao Paulo331114846351147
10America MineiroAmerica Mineiro34137143336-346
11FortalezaFortaleza33129123433145
12SantosSantos341110134033743
13GoiasGoias331012113743-642
14BragantinoBragantino341011134647-141
15Coritiba33105183353-2035
16CearaCeara34616123036-634
17Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3389163349-1633
18Cuiaba33710162537-1231
19Avai3377192855-2728
20JuventudeJuventude33312182660-3421
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2Lens128311981127
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6Lille127142521422
7MonacoMonaco126332318521
8Lyon125252116517
9Clermont125251619-317
10Toulouse124441920-116
11Troyes123452124-313
12Nice123451115-413
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier124082224-212
14Reims122641420-612
15NantesNantes122551420-611
16StrasbourgStrasbourg121651219-79
17Brest122371426-129
18Auxerre122371225-139
19Ajaccio12228819-118
20Angers122281429-158
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