SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 8.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.46%) and 3-0 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Vitoria |
73.93% ( -0.12) | 17.32% ( 0.05) | 8.75% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 40.09% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.77% ( -0.01) | 47.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.54% ( -0.01) | 69.46% ( 0.01) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.78% ( -0.03) | 11.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.24% ( -0.08) | 35.77% ( 0.08) |
| Vitoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.15% ( 0.15) | 54.85% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.21% ( 0.09) | 87.79% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botafogo | Draw | Vitoria |
| 2-0 @ 14.72% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 13.46% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 73.92% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0)2-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.42% Total : 17.32% | 0-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.52% Total : 8.76% |
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