SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Cuiaba |
54.18% ( -0.27) | 24.34% ( 0.09) | 21.47% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.59% ( -0.18) | 51.41% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.78% ( -0.15) | 73.22% ( 0.15) |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.1% ( -0.17) | 18.89% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.62% ( -0.28) | 50.37% ( 0.28) |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.36% ( 0.07) | 38.63% ( -0.07) |
