Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Eupen win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
