Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Eupen win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
