Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.16%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Gent in this match.
