SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Charleroi |
48.14% ( 0.37) | 23.77% ( -0.04) | 28.08% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 58.54% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.89% ( -0.03) | 43.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.49% ( -0.03) | 65.51% ( 0.03) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( 0.14) | 18.07% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.02% ( 0.23) | 48.98% ( -0.22) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% ( -0.24) | 28.54% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.67% ( -0.31) | 64.33% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 48.14% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 69 | 30 | 39 | 68 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 65 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 25 | 28 | 60 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | GentGent | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 48 |
| 6 | Westerlo | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Standard Liege | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 46 |
| 8 | Anderlecht | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 42 |
| 9 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | CharleroiCharleroi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 41 |
| 11 | Leuven | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 39 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 60 | -21 | 27 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 41 | 69 | -28 | 24 |
| 17 | KV OostendeOostende | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 24 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 19 |
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