SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
53.08% ( 0.02) | 23.38% ( -0) | 23.54% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.41% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.78% ( 0.01) | 45.22% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.44% ( 0) | 67.56% |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( 0.01) | 17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.88% ( 0.02) | 47.12% ( -0.01) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.75% ( -0.01) | 33.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.14% ( -0.01) | 69.86% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.08% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.37% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.54% |
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