SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 51.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Dender had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Dender win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Dender |
51.93% ( -0.12) | 24.75% ( 0.06) | 23.31% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.81% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.82% ( -0.16) | 51.18% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% ( -0.14) | 73.02% ( 0.14) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.31% ( -0.11) | 19.69% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.31% ( -0.18) | 51.69% ( 0.18) |
| Dender Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.26% ( -0.02) | 36.73% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.48% ( -0.02) | 73.52% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Dender |
| 1-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.93% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 23.31% |
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