SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Dender had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Dender win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Dender |
51.32% ( -0.13) | 24.76% ( 0.01) | 23.92% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.45% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.33% ( 0.06) | 50.67% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.43% ( 0.05) | 72.57% ( -0.05) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.26% ( -0.03) | 19.74% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.23% ( -0.05) | 51.77% ( 0.05) |
| Dender Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% ( 0.14) | 35.9% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.32% ( 0.14) | 72.68% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Dender |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.31% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.92% |
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