SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Club Brugge | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Genk | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Charleroi | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Westerlo | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Eupen | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | KV Oostende | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 78.18%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 7.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.6%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.6%), while for a Eupen win it was 0-1 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Eupen |
78.18% ( 0.29) | 13.97% ( -0.15) | 7.85% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.91% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.41% ( 0.18) | 34.59% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.47% ( 0.2) | 56.53% ( -0.2) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.88% ( 0.1) | 7.12% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.08% ( 0.26) | 25.92% ( -0.26) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.58% ( -0.22) | 48.42% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.46% ( -0.16) | 83.54% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Eupen |
| 2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.69% ( 0)4-0 @ 7% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 78.17% | 1-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.76% Total : 13.97% | 0-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.05% Total : 7.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 59 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 42 | 23 | 19 | 46 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 40 |
| 5 | GentGent | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 38 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 37 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 34 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 33 |
| 9 | Sint-Truiden | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Leuven | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | CharleroiCharleroi | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 27 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 25 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 22 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 21 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 20 |
| 17 | KV OostendeOostende | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 18 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 15 |
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