SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Royal Antwerp | 39 | 9 | 64 |
| 6 | Genk | 40 | 21 | 62 |
| 7 | Charleroi | 40 | 7 | 61 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Genk | 40 | 21 | 62 |
| 7 | Charleroi | 40 | 7 | 61 |
| 8 | Mechelen | 39 | -3 | 56 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 13.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Charleroi win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Charleroi |
69.59% ( 0.18) | 17.3% ( -0.15) | 13.11% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.03% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.46% ( 0.63) | 34.54% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.52% ( 0.71) | 56.48% ( -0.71) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.06% ( 0.2) | 8.93% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.49% ( 0.49) | 30.51% ( -0.5) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.53% ( 0.36) | 38.47% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.78% ( 0.34) | 75.22% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 69.58% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.3% | 1-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 13.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 76 | 35 | 41 | 74 |
| 2 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 72 |
| 3 | Union SGUnion SG | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 66 | 39 | 27 | 72 |
| 4 | GentGent | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 56 |
| 5 | Club BruggeBrugge | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 56 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 42 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 47 |
| 9 | CharleroiCharleroi | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 47 |
| 10 | Anderlecht | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 46 |
| 11 | Leuven | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 45 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 42 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 37 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 31 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 40 | 68 | -28 | 28 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 27 |
| R | KV OostendeOostende | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 75 | -40 | 24 |
| R | RFC Seraing | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 68 | -40 | 20 |
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