SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 66.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 15.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Eupen win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eupen | Draw | Genk |
15.16% ( -0.1) | 18.46% ( -0.08) | 66.38% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.57% ( 0.18) | 35.42% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.54% ( 0.2) | 57.46% ( -0.2) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% ( -0.01) | 36.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.97% ( -0.01) | 73.02% ( 0.01) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.08% ( 0.09) | 9.92% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.16% ( 0.22) | 32.83% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eupen | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 15.16% | 1-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.46% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 7.5% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 7.39% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.34% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 4.27% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 2% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.23% Total : 66.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 29 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 68 | 29 | 39 | 67 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 62 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 24 | 29 | 60 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | GentGent | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 48 |
| 6 | Westerlo | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Standard Liege | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 45 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Anderlecht | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 39 |
| 10 | Leuven | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | CharleroiCharleroi | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 33 |
| 14 | EupenEupen | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 59 | -20 | 27 |
| 15 | KortrijkKortrijk | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | KV OostendeOostende | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 24 |
| 17 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 23 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
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