SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Eupen win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eupen | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
33.61% ( -0.42) | 26.46% ( 0.05) | 39.93% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 52.34% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.58% ( -0.29) | 52.42% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( -0.25) | 74.1% ( 0.24) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( -0.41) | 29.49% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.5% ( -0.5) | 65.49% ( 0.5) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% ( 0.07) | 25.77% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.28% ( 0.09) | 60.72% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eupen | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.61% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 62 | 25 | 37 | 63 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 29 | 24 | 56 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 53 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 43 |
| 5 | GentGent | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 41 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Sint-Truiden | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 35 |
| 10 | Anderlecht | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 34 |
| 11 | Leuven | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 32 |
| 12 | CharleroiCharleroi | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 32 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 27 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 25 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 22 |
| 17 | KV OostendeOostende | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 20 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 19 |
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