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Apr 1, 2023 at 5.30pm UK at Allianz Arena
Bayern
4 - 2
Dortmund
Kobel (13' og.), Muller (18', 23'), Coman (50')
Upamecano (64')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Can (72' pen.), Malen (90')
Can (12')

Preview: Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund - prediction, team news, lineups

:Headline: Preview: Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund - prediction, team news, lineups:
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Sports Mole

A tumultuous time at 'FC Hollywood' continues on Saturday, as Bayern Munich tackle Bundesliga title rivals Borussia Dortmund in a crucial edition of Der Klassiker.

Following a downturn which saw Julian Nagelsmann ruthlessly sacked and replaced by ex-Dortmund boss Thomas Tuchel, the champions trail their visitors by one point in the table; ahead of their trip to Allianz Arena, BVB sit top and have won nine of their last 10 league games.


Match preview

Having let their vice-like grip on the Bundesliga summit slip just before international football intervened, Bayern Munich took drastic action to prevent their season taking the wrong path: firing their 35-year-old head coach and hiring a Champions League winner to take his place.

Following a 2-1 reverse to Bayer Leverkusen last time out, the Rekordmeister have already dropped more points in 10 matches this year than in 15 played before the winter break. When allied to off-field concerns about Nagelsmann, such a stumble saw Bayern's hierarchy act to draw the curtain on his brief reign in Bavaria.

With perfect timing, Tuchel steps into the hotseat at Allianz Arena, as his new side prepare to meet his old one in Der Klassiker with the destiny of the title still to be decided.

An ongoing tally of 10 straight championship wins mean that Bayern remain favourites to prevail in the end, but losing on Saturday would deal a heavy blow to hopes of wrapping up number 11 in May.

Despite some setbacks of late, Die Roten can still boast a league-high 72 goals this season, and they have only failed to score once through 37 competitive games of their 2022-23 campaign.

Alongside third-placed upstarts Union Berlin, Bayern are also one of just two teams still unbeaten on home soil, and they are Germany's last remaining representatives in the Champions League - a competition Tuchel knows very well.

The former BVB boss can help Bayern back to the top of the table by marking his dugout debut with victory in a classic 'six-pointer' this week, and history is certainly on the hosts' side: they have not lost any of eight previous contests when they and Dortmund have sat first and second, in addition to winning each of the clubs' last eight meetings in Munich.

Despite their dire recent record against Bayern, Dortmund managed to come from two goals down to draw the first Klassiker of the season back in October, when Anthony Modeste's stoppage-time equaliser snatched a point from the jaws of defeat.

At that time, Die Schwarzgelben were struggling for consistency and more concerned with achieving a top-four finish than pushing for a first title in 11 years, and they actually languished as low as sixth prior to the World Cup.

Fast forward to the end of March, and BVB ended a matchday top of the pile for the first time since 2019 by battering Koln 6-1, in a game which saw captain Marco Reus surpass Michael Zorc as the club's all-time Bundesliga top scorer.

Thus extending their unbeaten streak in the league to its 10th match - a run featuring nine wins and a draw in the Revierderby - Edin Terzic's men have also racked up a division-high 30 goals in 2023 and posted 10 more points than Saturday's hosts over that period.

While the Meisterschale glints in the distance, following 10 years of undiluted Bayern dominance, Dortmund still have it all to do if they are to retain first place for nine more rounds, and their recent Champions League exit serves as a reminder of their frailties on the grandest stage.

Also set to face Leipzig in the DFB-Pokal quarter-finals next week, a double dose of silverware could yet end their drought, but perhaps the toughest test of all awaits this weekend.

Bayern Munich Bundesliga form:


Bayern Munich form (all competitions):


Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga form:


Borussia Dortmund form (all competitions):



Team News

Though Thomas Tuchel has maintained he will not make sweeping changes to either tactics or personnel, he is likely to alter the XI which lined up for Julian Nagelsmann's final game in charge.

Tuchel's main fitness concern relates to midfield regular Jamal Musiala, who is one of two Bayern players to hit double figures in terms of league goals this season but is currently troubled by a hamstring problem.

Long-term absentees Lucas Hernandez and Manuel Neuer will watch events unfold from the sidelines, but with an otherwise available squad, Joao Cancelo, Noussair Mazraoui and Benjamin Pavard all battle it out for places on the right flank. Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting (10) is only behind Musiala for Bundesliga goals and should lead the line up front.

Dortmund, meanwhile, may be without teenage duo Jamie Bynoe-Gittens and Youssoufa Moukoko, but Karim Adeyemi (thigh) and Julian Brandt (hamstring) should both return from injury in time to feature at some stage.

Marco Reus has four goals from his last four league games, with fellow forward Sebastien Haller having bagged a brace against Koln just before the break. Even more impressive of late, Raphael Guerreiro has tallied nine goal involvements from his last five Bundesliga appearances.

The visitors' hopes of keeping the back door shut when faced by Bayern's fearsome attacking force will be aided by Emre Can's return from suspension, which comes in the wake of his recent recall to the Germany setup.

Bayern Munich possible starting lineup:
Sommer; Pavard, Upamecano, De Ligt; Cancelo, Kimmich, Goretzka, Davies; Sane, Muller; Choupo-Moting

Borussia Dortmund possible starting lineup:
Kobel; Wolf, Sule, Schlotterbeck, Ryerson; Bellingham, Can, Guerreiro; Brandt, Haller, Reus


We say: Bayern Munich 3-2 Borussia Dortmund

High-stakes encounters of this kind often peter out into a safety-first stalemate, but both of these teams like to go for the throat and there could be a few goals on the cards as a result.

Boasting the big-time mindset that comes with the territory in Munich, it is Bayern who are best placed to swing the title race in their favour - but not before several thrills and spills.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data

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Bundesliga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26167376294755
2Borussia DortmundDortmund26172757352253
3Union BerlinUnion Berlin26156541281351
4Freiburg2613853935447
5RB Leipzig26136749331645
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26118747371041
7Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26124104840840
8Mainz 05Mainz2611784336740
9Wolfsburg26109746341239
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach2688104044-432
11Werder Bremen2694134050-1031
12Augsburg2685133447-1329
13FC Koln26610103344-1128
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum2682162857-2926
15Hoffenheim2674153546-1125
16Hertha Berlin2657143149-1822
17Schalke 04Schalke2649132148-2721
18Stuttgart2648142945-1620
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