MX23RW : Saturday, July 1 21:27:11
SM
Saturday, July 1
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 1, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield
1 - 0
Arsenal
Castro (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pombo (54'), Muscia (58'), Souto (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, June 22 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Platense
Sunday, June 25 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Arsenal Sarandi

Arsenal have a poor record when travelling to the capital to face Velez, but many of their meetings have ended in draws. With both sides woefully out of form, a similar outcome could ensue, and that would hardly benefit either side greatly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawArsenal Sarandi
60.86% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 23.65% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 15.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 41.76% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.32% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)56.68% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.36% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)77.63% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)18.37% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.5% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)49.49% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.15% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)48.84% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.16% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)83.84% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 60.86%
    Arsenal Sarandi 15.48%
    Draw 23.65%
Velez SarsfieldDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 15.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 60.86%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 8.97% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.31% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 23.65%
0-1 @ 6.43% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.9% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.3%
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 15.48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, June 22 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, June 13 at 1.45am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 3 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-2 River Plate
Tuesday, May 30 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Rosario
Tuesday, May 16 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Platense
Sunday, June 25 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 1-0 Arsenal
Sunday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Boca Juniors
Friday, June 2 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, May 27 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Independiente
Friday, May 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-0 Arsenal
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group A
1Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs00000000
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal00000000
3Atletico TucumanTucuman00000000
4BanfieldBanfield00000000
5Barracas Central00000000
6ColonColon00000000
7GimnasiaGimnasia00000000
8HuracanHuracan00000000
9IndependienteIndependiente00000000
10Instituto00000000
11River PlateRiver Plate00000000
12Rosario CentralRosario00000000
13TalleresTalleres00000000
14Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield00000000
Group B
1BelgranoBelgrano00000000
2Boca Juniors00000000
3Central CordobaC. Cordoba00000000
4Defensa y JusticiaDefensa00000000
5EstudiantesEstudiantes00000000
6Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz00000000
7LanusLanus00000000
8Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB00000000
9Platense00000000
10Racing ClubRacing00000000
11San Lorenzo00000000
12Sarmiento00000000
13TigreTigre00000000
14UnionUnion00000000
 
First Phase
1River PlateRiver Plate22162440152550
2TalleresTalleres21124536191740
3LanusLanus22117431201140
4San Lorenzo2110832081238
5EstudiantesEstudiantes2110652618836
6Rosario CentralRosario219843024635
7BelgranoBelgrano2110472018234
8Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2196626161033
9Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs219572618832
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz219572723432
11Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB217861817129
12Platense228592325-229
13Sarmiento217772218428
14Boca Juniors218492322128
15Racing ClubRacing217682630-427
16Barracas Central226972228-627
17GimnasiaGimnasia217591727-1026
18TigreTigre216782024-425
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba216781621-525
20ColonColon2141251921-224
21Atletico TucumanTucuman225981927-824
22UnionUnion225891725-823
23Instituto215791729-1222
24Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield224992124-321
25IndependienteIndependiente214982026-621
26HuracanHuracan2147101625-919
27BanfieldBanfield2146111429-1518
28Arsenal SarandiArsenal2252151530-1517
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