SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 1-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (12.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
32.57% ( -0.16) | 30.2% ( -0) | 37.23% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 41.43% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.14% ( 0) | 65.86% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.51% ( 0) | 84.49% ( -0) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.78% ( -0.12) | 37.22% ( 0.12) |
