SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 47.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
47.41% ( 1.1) | 27.43% ( 0.01) | 25.16% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 45.07% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.41% ( -0.69) | 59.58% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.08% ( -0.54) | 79.92% ( 0.53) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( 0.22) | 25.22% ( -0.22) |
