Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Argentinos Juniors.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
