SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 35.01%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.87%) and 1-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (13.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Independiente |
34.24% ( 0.16) | 30.74% ( 0.14) | 35.01% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 40.21% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.63% ( -0.41) | 67.36% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.49% ( -0.28) | 85.51% ( 0.28) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.14% ( -0.12) | 36.85% ( 0.12) |
