SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Central Cordoba win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Central Cordoba |
53.21% ( 1.58) | 26.38% ( -0.3) | 20.4% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 42.81% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.14% ( -0.17) | 59.86% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.87% ( -0.13) | 80.13% ( 0.13) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( 0.62) | 22.68% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.67% ( 0.91) | 56.33% ( -0.91) |
| Central Cordoba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.37% ( -1.46) | 44.63% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.36% ( -1.2) | 80.64% ( 1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Central Cordoba |
| 1-0 @ 15.01% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.47)2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.62% Total : 53.2% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.77% Total : 20.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 8 | 19 | 37 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | TalleresTalleres | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 | Rosario CentralRosario | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | BelgranoBelgrano | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | LanusLanus | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 25 |
| 9 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 23 |
| 10 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 12 | Sarmiento | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 22 |
| 13 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 14 | TigreTigre | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 21 |
| 15 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 | Platense | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 |
| 17 | Instituto | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 19 |
| 19 | Barracas Central | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 18 |
| 20 | Racing ClubRacing | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
| 21 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 17 |
| 22 | ColonColon | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 17 |
| 23 | IndependienteIndependiente | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 17 |
| 24 | HuracanHuracan | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 17 |
| 25 | BanfieldBanfield | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 15 |
| 26 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 14 |
| 27 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 14 |
| 28 | UnionUnion | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 9 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
