SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 51.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | River Plate |
21.7% ( -0.58) | 27.07% ( 0.06) | 51.23% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 42.65% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.07% ( -0.67) | 60.93% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.06% ( -0.5) | 80.94% ( 0.51) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.13% ( -0.98) | 43.87% ( 0.99) |
