Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Newell's Old Boys and River Plate.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.27%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
