SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.61%) and 1-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (12.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Lanus |
31.54% ( -0.06) | 30.49% ( 0.1) | 37.96% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 40.53% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.16% ( -0.31) | 66.84% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.84% ( -0.21) | 85.15% ( 0.21) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.46% ( -0.22) | 38.54% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.72% ( -0.21) | 75.28% ( 0.21) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.94% ( -0.2) | 34.06% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.25% ( -0.21) | 70.74% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.59% Total : 31.54% | 1-1 @ 13.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.48% | 0-1 @ 14.13% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.96% |
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