SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 34.31%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.76%) and 1-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (13.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Tigre |
34.3% ( -0.27) | 31.39% ( -0.03) | 34.31% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 38.64% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.8% ( 0.07) | 69.19% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.28% ( 0.04) | 86.71% ( -0.05) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.15% ( -0.15) | 37.84% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.38% ( -0.15) | 74.62% ( 0.14) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.16% ( 0.25) | 37.83% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.39% ( 0.24) | 74.6% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 13.91% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.7% Total : 34.29% | 0-0 @ 14.31% ( -0.04) 1-1 @ 13.52% 2-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.38% | 0-1 @ 13.91% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 34.3% |
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