SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 43.89%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (7.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.32%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Independiente |
43.89% ( -0.63) | 31.34% ( 0.02) | 24.77% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 35.77% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.97% ( 0.21) | 71.03% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.11% ( 0.13) | 87.88% ( -0.13) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( -0.25) | 32.73% ( 0.25) |
