SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 53.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
53.12% ( 0.04) | 26.06% ( 0.54) | 20.81% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 44.14% ( -2.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.6% ( -2.43) | 58.4% ( 2.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21% ( -1.94) | 79% ( 1.94) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( -0.98) | 22.11% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.53% ( -1.51) | 55.47% ( 1.51) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.67% ( -2.01) | 43.33% ( 2.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.43% ( -1.73) | 79.57% ( 1.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 14.45% ( 0.88) 2-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.36)2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.82% Total : 53.11% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.85)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 27 |
| 5 | BelgranoBelgrano | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | Rosario CentralRosario | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | LanusLanus | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
| 8 | TalleresTalleres | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 24 |
| 9 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | TigreTigre | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
| 12 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 20 |
| 13 | Boca Juniors | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Racing ClubRacing | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 | ColonColon | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
| 17 | Barracas Central | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 17 |
| 18 | Platense | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 17 |
| 19 | Instituto | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 |
| 20 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 16 |
| 21 | Sarmiento | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
| 22 | HuracanHuracan | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
| 23 | BanfieldBanfield | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 15 |
| 24 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
| 25 | IndependienteIndependiente | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 26 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 14 |
| 27 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 11 |
| 28 | UnionUnion | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
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