Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Boca Juniors
2 - 0
Sarmiento
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garcia (29'), Mendez (57'), Hernandez (75')
We said: Boca Juniors 2-0 Sarmiento
While Boca Juniors have struggled to get going in the league, they will be backing themselves to see off a Sarmiento side who have failed to win their last five encounters. We predict that Almiron's men will pick up from where they dropped off against Monagas and claim all three points in front of their home supporters.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 66.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.08%) and 3-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.67%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.
| Result |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Sarmiento |
66.35% ( 0.21) | 23.21% ( -0.13) | 10.44% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 31.26% ( 0.07) |
| 36.34% ( 0.25) | 63.66% ( -0.24) |
| 17.06% ( 0.18) | 82.94% ( -0.17) |
| 81% ( 0.17) | 19.01% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.44% ( 0.28) | 50.56% ( -0.27) |
| 38.6% ( 0.01) | 61.4% ( -0) |
