Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
May 14, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando
Boca Juniors
2 - 0
Belgrano
FT(HT: 0-0)
Meriano (35')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Belgrano.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Belgrano |
47.23% ( -0.14) | 28.33% ( 0.03) | 24.44% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 42.21% ( 0) |
| 37.07% ( -0.04) | 62.93% ( 0.04) |
| 17.59% ( -0.03) | 82.41% ( 0.03) |
| 73.16% ( -0.09) | 26.84% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.86% ( -0.12) | 62.14% ( 0.12) |
| 57.7% ( 0.07) | 42.3% ( -0.07) |
