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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
May 28, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando
Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Tigre
Merentiel (13')
Fabra (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Molinas (28'), Luciatti (54'), Menossi (90+4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Tigre.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawTigre
42.41% (0.064 0.06) 27.18% (0.0010000000000012 0) 30.41% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.04% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.86% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)56.14% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.79% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)77.2% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (0.019000000000005 0.02)26.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (0.027000000000001 0.03)61.25% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)33.58% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.77% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)70.22% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 42.41%
    Tigre 30.41%
    Draw 27.18%
Boca JuniorsDrawTigre
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 42.41%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 30.41%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dep. Pereira 1-0 Boca Juniors
Thursday, May 25 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-1 Boca Juniors
Saturday, May 20 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-0 Belgrano
Sunday, May 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Boca Juniors
Sunday, May 7 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-2 Boca Juniors
Thursday, May 4 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-1 Racing
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 0-0 Tolima
Thursday, May 25 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Tigre 0-0 Tucuman
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Tigre
Saturday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 2-2 Newell's OB
Monday, May 8 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Puerto Cabello 0-3 Tigre
Thursday, May 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 Tigre
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group A
1Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs00000000
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal00000000
3Atletico TucumanTucuman00000000
4BanfieldBanfield00000000
5Barracas Central00000000
6ColonColon00000000
7GimnasiaGimnasia00000000
8HuracanHuracan00000000
9IndependienteIndependiente00000000
10Instituto00000000
11River PlateRiver Plate00000000
12Rosario CentralRosario00000000
13TalleresTalleres00000000
14Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield00000000
Group B
1BelgranoBelgrano00000000
2Boca Juniors00000000
3Central CordobaC. Cordoba00000000
4Defensa y JusticiaDefensa00000000
5EstudiantesEstudiantes00000000
6Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz00000000
7LanusLanus00000000
8Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB00000000
9Platense00000000
10Racing ClubRacing00000000
11San Lorenzo00000000
12Sarmiento00000000
13TigreTigre00000000
14UnionUnion00000000
 
First Phase
1River PlateRiver Plate21162339132650
2TalleresTalleres21124536191740
3San Lorenzo2110832081238
4LanusLanus21107430201037
5EstudiantesEstudiantes2110652618836
6Rosario CentralRosario219843024635
7BelgranoBelgrano2110472018234
8Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2196626161033
9Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs219572618832
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz219572723432
11Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB217861817129
12Platense218582324-129
13Sarmiento217772218428
14Boca Juniors218492322128
15Racing ClubRacing217682630-427
16GimnasiaGimnasia217591727-1026
17TigreTigre216782024-425
18Central CordobaC. Cordoba216781621-525
19ColonColon2141251921-224
20Barracas Central215972027-724
21UnionUnion215881724-723
22Instituto215791729-1222
23IndependienteIndependiente214982026-621
24Atletico TucumanTucuman214981827-921
25HuracanHuracan2147101625-919
26Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield213992024-418
27BanfieldBanfield2146111429-1518
28Arsenal SarandiArsenal2152141529-1417
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