Jul 9, 2022 at 10pm UK at Estadio Florencio Sola
Banfield
2 - 3
Union
FT(HT: 1-2)
Castrillon (6'),
Juarez (27'),
Canete (61')
Bucca (23'),
Juarez (33'), Esquivel (47'), Moyano (90+4')
We said: Banfield 2-1 Union
Union have certainly made positive steps with back-to-back league wins in recent weeks, but they face a tough test travelling to an in-form Banfield side, and we just give the edge to the hosts.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Union had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Banfield | Draw | Union |
53.78% ( 2.66) | 25.51% ( -0.66) | 20.7% ( -2) |
| Both teams to score 45.44% ( -0.62) |
| 43.4% ( 0.46) | 56.6% ( -0.46) |
| 22.43% ( 0.37) | 77.57% ( -0.37) |
| 78.91% ( 1.32) | 21.09% ( -1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.09% ( 2.01) | 53.91% ( -2.01) |
| 57.59% ( -1.78) | 42.41% ( 1.79) |
