Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 25, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando
Boca Juniors
1 - 2
Union
We said: Boca Juniors 3-0 Union
Tatengue are playing Boca Juniors at an inopportune moment, with the 34-time league champions firing on all cylinders in the attacking third, while Union might still be a little shell shocked from that second-half performance against River Plate where they conceded four goals in the final half-hour.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Union had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Union |
58.63% ( 0.92) | 24.03% ( -0.31) | 17.34% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 44.28% ( -0.23) |
| 44.7% ( 0.29) | 55.3% ( -0.28) |
| 23.48% ( 0.24) | 76.52% ( -0.23) |
| 81.32% ( 0.46) | 18.68% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.98% ( 0.76) | 50.02% ( -0.75) |
| 54.46% ( -0.59) | 45.54% ( 0.6) |
