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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.6%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Macarthur |
25.86% ( 0.46) | 20.38% ( 0.11) | 53.76% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 69.04% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.47% ( -0.11) | 28.53% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.6% ( -0.13) | 49.39% ( 0.13) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% ( 0.24) | 22.41% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.07% ( 0.36) | 55.93% ( -0.36) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.98% ( -0.19) | 11.02% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.67% ( -0.41) | 35.32% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.86% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.38% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.6% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 3.64% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.33% Total : 53.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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