SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
21% ( 0.06) | 22.91% ( 0.01) | 56.09% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.53% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.92% ( 0.04) | 46.08% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.62% ( 0.04) | 68.38% ( -0.03) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% ( 0.08) | 36.09% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.13% ( 0.08) | 72.87% ( -0.07) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% ( -0) | 16.25% ( 0.01) |
