Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
