Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 16.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.
