Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.