Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
