Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Haka had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
