SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Karlsruher SC win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
55.69% ( -0.04) | 22.75% ( 0.01) | 21.56% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.33% ( -0.02) | 44.67% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.97% ( -0.02) | 67.03% ( 0.03) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% ( -0.02) | 15.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.89% ( -0.04) | 45.11% ( 0.04) |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.25% ( 0.02) | 34.75% ( -0.01) |
